Sunday, May 29, 2011

Consumer Spending Up, Mostly On Food And Gasoline

Consumer spending rose 0.4 percent in April, reflecting a surge in the category that covers food and gasoline. Those categories showed big price gains last month.
Enlarge Al Behrman/AP

Consumer spending rose 0.4 percent in April, reflecting a surge in the category that covers food and gasoline. Those categories showed big price gains last month.

Al Behrman/AP

Consumer spending rose 0.4 percent in April, reflecting a surge in the category that covers food and gasoline. Those categories showed big price gains last month.

U.S. consumers spent more in April but much of the increase was eaten up by higher food and energy prices. After discounting for the jump in prices, spending barely budged and after-tax incomes were flat for a second straight month.

Consumer spending rose 0.4 percent, reflecting a surge in the category that covers food and gasoline, areas which showed big price gains last month, the Commerce Department reported Friday. Excluding price changes, spending rose a much smaller 0.1 percent.

Incomes rose 0.4 percent but after-tax incomes adjusted for inflation were flat for a second straight month.

Separately Friday, the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index rose to 74.3 in late May, up from a preliminary reading of 72.4 earlier in the month and 69.8 in April.

Analysts are worried that weak income growth and big gains in gasoline and food prices are leaving consumers with little left to spend on other products. That could dampen economic growth. Consumer spending is closely watched because it accounts for 70 percent of economic activity.

Paul Dales, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, said that the income and spending data in April painted a "weak picture" of household finances.

"Unless incomes rebound sharply, something we believe is unlikely, real consumption growth will remain subdued," he said.

Unless incomes rebound sharply, something we believe is unlikely, real consumption growth will remain subdued.

The savings rate was unchanged at 4.9 percent of after-tax incomes, the same as March. Both months represented the smallest savings rate since October 2008, the month the country was plunged into a deep financial crisis which contributed to the worst recession since the 1930s. During the recession, Americans worked to build up savings out of concerns that they needed a deeper cushion in the face of massive job layoffs. The savings rate high a high of 8.2 percent in May 2009, the month before the recession ended.

A key inflation gauge preferred by the Federal Reserve showed prices rose 0.3 percent in April, the fifth straight month of gains of 0.3 percent or higher. However, excluding food and energy, inflation was up just 1 percent in April, well below the level where the Fed would be worried that inflation could be a threat to the economy.

The government reported Thursday that the overall economy grew at an annual rate of just 1.8 percent in the January-March period, sharply lower than the 3.1 percent growth in the previous quarter.

Much of that slowdown reflected weakness in consumer spending, which was growing at a 2.2 percent pace, just about half the rate of the October-December period.

Private forecasters think the U.S. economy will grow at a slightly faster pace this quarter and in the second half of this year, but they believe the pickup will be modest at best as higher energy and food costs continue to dominate in an environment of weak income growth. These adverse forces are overwhelming the boost the economy was supposed to get this year from the 2 percentage point cut in Social Security payroll taxes.

Source: http://www.npr.org/2011/05/27/136710771/consumer-spending-up-mostly-on-food-and-gasoline?ft=1&f=1017

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